(Editor’s note: We realize the constant talk of disease and death in the media is disconcerting, but we want to pass along what appears to be the most potentially accurate information possible. We believe that each and every human life is precious, ‘made in the image of God’ as the Bible states. The loss of lives is no mere statistic.) 

Calculations by IHME experts at the University of Washington point to Thursday, April 16, as the day COVID-19 fatalities will peak in the United States. That’s averaging all 50 states, so some may peak before or after that date to some degree. If accurate, on that day they project roughly 3,130 lives will be lost, with the daily loss starting to drop in the days after. The situation looks much better by the end of May, but overall they expect nearly 82,000 lives to have been lost in the American phase of the pandemic as of early August. 

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington.